⚠️ Federal estimate only, not tax advice. 2026 tax year. Talk to a tax professional before filing or making retirement decisions.

What will you actually owe in retirement?

Real 2026 IRS tax brackets. The actual Social Security taxability formula. Real capital gains treatment. Not a flat percentage guess.

Filing status
Your income this year, in retirement
Only gains you actually realize by selling — not your account's total growth.
Not itself taxed, but counts toward whether your Social Security is taxable.
0%

Effective tax rate on your 401(k)/IRA/pension withdrawal — the number to use in the "expected effective tax rate" field on Quit Today or What If I Worked a Little Longer.

How this is calculated

  • Uses the actual 2026 IRS federal tax brackets and standard deduction (Revenue Procedure 2025-32), including the additional standard deduction for filers 65+ and the temporary OBBBA senior deduction (up to $6,000 per qualifying person, phasing out above $75,000 single / $150,000 joint income).
  • Social Security taxability uses the standard simplified version of the IRS Social Security Benefits Worksheet: up to 50% of your benefit becomes taxable once your "combined income" (other income + tax-exempt interest + half your Social Security) crosses $25,000 single / $32,000 joint, and up to 85% becomes taxable above $34,000 single / $44,000 joint. These thresholds are fixed by law and not adjusted for inflation.
  • Long-term capital gains are taxed at their own rates (0%/15%/20%), stacked on top of your ordinary taxable income — so capital gains can get pushed into a higher bracket by your other retirement income, even though they're never taxed as ordinary income themselves.
  • The 401(k)/IRA/pension effective rate is calculated by comparing your total tax with and without that withdrawal — this correctly captures the withdrawal's side effect of making more of your Social Security taxable, not just its own bracket.
  • This is federal tax only. It does not include state income tax, the Net Investment Income Tax, FICA/payroll tax, or any tax credits. It's a planning estimate, not a tax return — a real filing depends on details this tool doesn't ask about.